SOA PAPredictive Analytics
Associateship (ASA)
3.5 hours (plus 15-minute read)·One case study, multi-part written response·≈200 study hoursScore 0/0 · 5 MC
- PA · Q1Multiple choiceModel building: GLMs, trees, regularization
For predicting claim severity that is strictly positive and right-skewed, the most appropriate GLM specification is:
- PA · Q2Multiple choiceModel building: GLMs, trees, regularization
Compared with ridge regression, lasso regression:
- PA · Q3Written answerModel building: GLMs, trees, regularization
You suspect the effect of driver age on claim frequency differs by vehicle class (sports car vs sedan). Describe how you would test and, if warranted, incorporate this in a GLM, and how you would guard against overfitting.
- PA · Q4Written answerModel building: GLMs, trees, regularization
Explain how k-fold cross-validation is used to select the lasso penalty parameter , and why choosing to minimize training error would be inappropriate.