Actuarium

SOA PAPredictive Analytics

Associateship (ASA)
3.5 hours (plus 15-minute read)·One case study, multi-part written response·200 study hours
Score 0/0 · 5 MC
  1. PA · Q1
    Multiple choice
    Model building: GLMs, trees, regularization

    For predicting claim severity that is strictly positive and right-skewed, the most appropriate GLM specification is:

  2. PA · Q2
    Multiple choice
    Model building: GLMs, trees, regularization

    Compared with ridge regression, lasso regression:

  3. PA · Q3
    Written answer
    Model building: GLMs, trees, regularization

    You suspect the effect of driver age on claim frequency differs by vehicle class (sports car vs sedan). Describe how you would test and, if warranted, incorporate this in a GLM, and how you would guard against overfitting.

  4. PA · Q4
    Written answer
    Model building: GLMs, trees, regularization

    Explain how k-fold cross-validation is used to select the lasso penalty parameter λ\lambda, and why choosing λ\lambda to minimize training error would be inappropriate.

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