Actuarium

CAS Exam 8Advanced Ratemaking

Fellowship (FCAS)
4 hoursΒ·25 written-answer itemsΒ·β‰ˆ450 study hours

Syllabus learning objectives

Official syllabus

Paraphrased from the CAS syllabus so the study-plan builder and practice sets track the topics you will actually be examined on. Weights are the official topic ranges.

Classification ratemaking & GLMs

30%
  • Build a GLM to estimate frequency, severity, or pure premium relativities by rating variable.
  • Assess multicollinearity, interactions and offsets when specifying a classification model.
  • Translate GLM output into indicated rating relativities and territory/class plans.
  • Validate a classification model using lift charts, double-lift charts and hold-out testing.

Individual risk rating (experience, schedule, retrospective)

30%
  • Compute experience rating modification factors incorporating credibility for primary and excess losses.
  • Apply schedule rating debit/credit criteria to adjust manual premium.
  • Determine retrospective premium under basic and incurred-loss retro rating plans with loss limits and maximum/minimum premiums.
  • Assess the incentive and cash-flow effects of individual risk rating plans.

Excess, deductible & increased-limits pricing

25%
  • Compute increased limit factors from a fitted severity distribution and adjust for trend and development.
  • Price deductible credits and self-insured retentions using limited expected value functions.
  • Assess the effect of ALAE treatment (pro rata vs. first-dollar) on excess layer pricing.
  • Evaluate the sensitivity of layer pricing to assumptions about the severity distribution's tail.

Catastrophe & reinsurance pricing

15%
  • Apply exposure rating and experience rating (burning cost) techniques to price reinsurance treaties.
  • Use catastrophe model output (exceedance probability curves) to price catastrophe covers.
  • Price proportional and non-proportional reinsurance structures, including reinstatement provisions.
  • Assess model and parameter uncertainty in catastrophe and reinsurance pricing.

Lecture videos for this exam

Open the full video library β†’

Insurance Risk Pricing with GLM, GAM and XGBoost

Matthew Evans Β· Pricing & GLMs

Pricing Insurance Risk: Theory and Practice

Stephen Mildenhall Β· Pricing & GLMs

Steve Mildenhall Python for Pricing Insurance Part 1

David Wright Β· Pricing & GLMs

Introduction to Excess of Loss Reinsurance | Excess of Loss Reinsurance Course for Beginners

Underwrite University Β· Reinsurance

Introduction to Catastrophe Excess of Loss (XoL) Reinsurance | Introductory Course for Beginners

Underwrite University Β· Reinsurance

Overview

Exam 8 is the fellowship pricing exam: GLM classification (CAS monograph), individual risk rating (NCCI experience rating, retrospective rating, Table M/L), increased limits and deductibles (ILFs, layer pricing, Fisher), and reinsurance/catastrophe pricing (Clark, Mata).

Duration
4 hours
Questions
25 written-answer items
Style
Computer-based written answer
Credit
Required for FCAS

Syllabus map

Key formulas

Experience modification β€…β€ŠM=1+Z(AEβˆ’1)\;M=1+Z\left(\dfrac{A}{E}-1\right), NCCI split-plan form β€…β€ŠM=Ap+wAe+(1βˆ’w)Ee+BE+B\;M=\dfrac{A_p+wA_e+(1-w)E_e+B}{E+B}

Increased limits factor β€…β€ŠILF(L)=E[X∧L]+ALAE+riskΒ loadE[X∧B]+β‹―\;ILF(L)=\dfrac{E[X\wedge L]+\text{ALAE}+\text{risk load}}{E[X\wedge B]+\cdots}; layer cost β€…β€Š=E[X∧L2]βˆ’E[X∧L1]\;=E[X\wedge L_2]-E[X\wedge L_1]

Loss elimination ratio β€…β€ŠLER(d)=E[X∧d]E[X]\;LER(d)=\dfrac{E[X\wedge d]}{E[X]}

Retrospective premium β€…β€ŠR=[B+cL]T\;R=\left[B+cL\right]T bounded by HH and GG; β€…β€ŠB=eβˆ’(cβˆ’1)E+cI\;B=e-(c-1)E+cI where II is the net insurance charge

Table M insurance charge β€…β€ŠΟ•(r)=∫r∞(1βˆ’F(s))ds\;\phi(r)=\int_r^\infty(1-F(s))ds, savings β€…β€ŠΟˆ(r)=Ο•(r)+rβˆ’1\;\psi(r)=\phi(r)+r-1

Exposure vs experience rating for reinsurance: exposure curve G(d)G(d) gives the share of loss below a fraction dd of insured value.

Study strategy

  1. Master the mechanics of the NCCI split plan and retrospective rating formula; compute a full retro premium with Table M several times.

  2. For ILFs, practice consistency tests (marginal ILFs must decrease) and the effect of trend on layers (leveraged effect).

  3. For GLMs, focus on model-building decisions: offsets, weights, interactions, and validation (lift charts, double-lift, Gini).

  4. Draw the exposure/Table M pictures β€” many written questions ask you to reason from the graph.

Common traps

  • Forgetting the tax multiplier or applying it before the min/max in retrospective rating.

  • Using ILFs multiplicatively with class relativities where the reading says they interact (limit Γ— class).

  • Confusing loss cost of a layer with its share of premium when expense loads differ by layer.

  • Treating credibility ZZ in experience rating as n/(n+k)n/(n+k) without the split between primary and excess.

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