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ECON 102 · Year 1 · Semester 2 · 3 credits · Professional & Ethics

Principles of Macroeconomics

Master the macroeconomic engine—inflation, interest rate determination, and cyclical shocks—that dictates insurance solvency, liability discounting, and asset returns.

Season 1 · 8 episodes

The Macroeconomic Balance: Solvency in an Age of Turbulence

When a sudden macroeconomic regime shift threatens Meridian Life & Casualty with multi-billion-dollar reserve deficiencies and mass policyholder lapses, new enterprise risk actuary Maya Lin must trace macroeconomic transmission channels from national accounts to global capital flows before the state regulator steps in.

Protagonist · Maya Lin, FSA, newly appointed Enterprise Risk Actuary at Meridian Life & Casualty
Setting · Meridian Life & Casualty's executive headquarters in Chicago, amid boardrooms, trading floors, and state insurance department review rooms
Stakes · A four-hundred-million-dollar capital deficit, threat of regulatory supervision, and potential liquidation of a sixty-year-old insurer employing three thousand people
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Cold open

At six thirty on a Tuesday morning, Maya Lin is summoned to the chief actuary's office. On the display screens, Meridian's quarterly claims across commercial auto and workers compensation are tracking twenty-two percent above baseline, while premium growth has stalled. The chief financial officer insists it is a random underwriting blip, but Maya suspects the problem is systemic across the entire national economy.

Transcript

At six thirty on a Tuesday morning, Maya Lin is summoned to the chief actuary's office. On the display screens, Meridian's quarterly claims across commercial auto and workers compensation are tracking twenty-two percent above baseline, while premium growth has stalled. The chief financial officer insists it is a random underwriting blip, but Maya suspects the problem is systemic across the entire national economy.

  • Define Gross Domestic Product (GDP) using the expenditure, income, and value-added approaches.
  • Distinguish between nominal GDP, real GDP, and the GDP deflator, computing real growth and economy-wide inflation.
  • Derive the fundamental national accounting identity relating national savings, domestic investment, and net capital flows.
  • Connect macroeconomic exposure bases like nominal GDP, aggregate payroll, and capital investment to property-casualty pricing and life insurer balance sheets.
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