Actuarium

Experience Modification Factor

NCCI-style experience rating: actual vs. expected losses split primary/excess, credibility, and off-balance.

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Intermediate terms

TermAmount
Actual primary (Ap)85,000
W × Actual excess (W·Ae)21,000
(1−W) × Expected excess45,500
Numerator (Ap + W·Ae + (1−W)·Ee + B)166,500
Denominator (Ep + Ee + B)175,000
Experience modification factor
0.951

What-if: actual excess losses

60,000

Resulting mod: 0.951

Assumptions & limitations
  • Follows the NCCI-style split-plan experience rating formula with primary/excess loss split and a credibility weight W applied only to excess losses.
  • Ballast (B) stabilizes the mod for small risks by adding a constant to both numerator and denominator.
  • W is typically a function of expected losses per published state/bureau tables; here it is a direct user input.
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